Article below regarding confession.
http://seamusoriley.blogspot.com/2011/08/statement-analysis-clay-waller-posts-on.html
His denials were unreliable and now we know why, as he has confessed to murder. You may review prior anlaysis. Here he posted on Facebook, and there are other, short statements, analyzed within articles. In all he said, and was said for him, he never issued the simple and reliable denial which consists of three elements:
1. First Person Singular
2. Past Tense Verb
3. Event Specific
He "would" never, but he never said he didn't kill her, during the denials.
1. First Person Singular
2. Past Tense Verb
3. Event Specific
He "would" never, but he never said he didn't kill her, during the denials.
Statement Analysis: Clay Waller Posts on Facebook
Statement Analysis is in bold type. Please note that we cannot verify that Clay Walker himself wrote this. The writer is called the "subject" for the purpose of analysis.
"I miss u so much. This is a nightmare.
Note "I miss" is first person singular, present tense. "This" represents closeness; the "nightmare" is close to the subject. What is it that is the nightmare? Is it the missing victim? He will tell us:
I wish for your safe return. So many people are wanting to get me. This is not about me.
Note that although she is missing, he writes that people are wanting to get him, using "me". Since the word "me" is repeated, it is sensitive. Added to the sensitivity of repetition is that it is offered in the negative; increasing the sensitivity.
Note that he not only wishes for her return, but her "safe" return. Note that it is only a "wish" which suggests that he may not have confidence that she is returning home "safely" but may return, but not "safe" in coming home. This is concerning.
"this is not about me" is in the negative, meaning that it is important. Anything reported in the negative is to be deemed important. This is, in fact, about the subject himself. Though it is only a "wish" please note that this "wish" is tied directly to the fact that "people" want to get him, suggesting the correlation with her disappearance and his trouble.
It is only a "wish" and it is not for her return, but for her "safe" return. This strongly suggests that she is not coming home "safe" in any way.
"So many" people suggests that there are many who want to "get" him, not just limited to one person or group. It is important to the writer that there are a large number of these people, who could be police, media and her family. The subject, or writer on Facebook, is concerned about himself.
"Are wanting" is active. So many people are actively wanting to get him. The writer is concerned that so many actively want to get him and this is an ongoing event and an ongoing concern. The tense will become important.
It is only a "wish" and it is not for her return, but for her "safe" return. This strongly suggests that she is not coming home "safe" in any way.
"So many" people suggests that there are many who want to "get" him, not just limited to one person or group. It is important to the writer that there are a large number of these people, who could be police, media and her family. The subject, or writer on Facebook, is concerned about himself.
"Are wanting" is active. So many people are actively wanting to get him. The writer is concerned that so many actively want to get him and this is an ongoing event and an ongoing concern. The tense will become important.
We need for you to come home.
Please note the change in pronoun, from "I", which is strong, to "we" which is weak. The wish he has is for himself, because people are trying to get him. Now, it is no longer a wish, it is a "need"; weakened by the plural. This suggests that her not coming home is going to directly impact not only the subject, but the "we" he has in mind.
Our babies need us so bad.
Please note that most people say "my" when it comes to their children, except when speaking for the other parent in the room with them. When someone uses the plural, there is likely step parenting involved (or step children, foster children, adopted children, new partners, etc). It sometimes shows up in married (biological) parents' language when a divorce or break up is looming.
The fact that he needs to emphasize joint ownership of the children is significant. It may have been expected: "the babies need us" or "the children need us..." and so on
I haven't seen them since all of this happened.
Note the change to singular and the focus is not upon the missing, but upon the subject himself. Every return from plural to singular is an increase in importance; personally, to the subject.
The writer speaks of "all of this" as if it is more than one singular event. This would be followed up on in an interview.
All of this "happened." Her disappearance is a past tense event. It is not something that started, or is ongoing, but rather is something that happened. What does the writer know about the finality of the event?
When someone is missing, it is an active, ongoing issue. This is why we close in our past tense language from a loved one. A loved one who believes the missing is alive will speak in present tense language. Here, he retreats to a past tense event; something that has already taken place. This strongly suggests he knows that she is not actively missing, but that something happened to her, in specific, the he references.
I know they miss u so bad.
Note that he reports to "know" what they are feeling but has not seen them since "all of this" happened. He doesn't say "they miss u so bad", but adds the "I know" which shows weakness.
Sometimes the writer spells out the word "you", while other times he uses the text speak "u." It should be noted when he uses each in context. Note that "you" spelled out, would require additional typing, that is, emphasis. Texting and internet posting is a new avenue for Statement Analysis, but in a sense, it is not knew, as we have always looked at spelling and capitalization.
Let's look at the two:
I look for u every day. I went to church today
When he "look" for her, it is "u"
When the kids miss her, of whom he does not know, it is "u"
Regarding the people after him, he needs her to come home, she is "you"
When forced to believe she is coming home, it is "you"
When it is him missing, loving, or needing, it is "you"
Note the emphasis upon himself. He does not say he looked at church, only that he looks every day and he went to church. Why the need to mention "church"? This is sometimes employed when a subject wishes to arouse pity in his audience. Facebook is published so the public can read.
and have to believe you are still coming home.
Note that he does not say "he believes" but that he "has to" believe. Why does he "have to" believe it?
Our babies must be so confused,
Note that here he does not know what they are feeling and he again stresses joint ownership. It is more common for a parent, when speaking to another parent to say "the kids" rather than "our kids". This statement was not written for her to read.
not having their mom or dad. Honey, I will keep moving forward. Our kids are worth fighting for. I knowyou would want me to fight every day for our babies. Honey, I miss and love you so much. Please come home soon, Clay.
The writer states that he must fight for his children, but doesn't say who he has to fight or why he has to fight. Are the children in peril, and they need him to "fight" for them? The fact that he mentions the word "fighting" in a way that doesn't seem to make sense may be significant. The writer is thinking about "fighting."
The writer wants her to come home "soon" which is more casual than we would expect for a missing persons case.
Note that "please" is like begging, as if she has the power of choice; yet, it is only a "wish" that she would come home "safe"?
The inconsistency is alarming.
When the topic and focus is upon him, his safety, his well-being, he addresses her as "you" spelled out, and with emphasis. It is important because he is central to the post.
She is then minimized, marginalized, or trivialized with "u" when the topic or focus is upon her, including looking for her. It takes less effort, and has less emphasis.
The difference should be noted.
When he addresses her as "you", it is he, himself, who is the focus and emphasis of the point of communication.
When it is about her, she is only "u".
As negation and sensitivity show: This Facebook posting was about the subject, and not about the missing. It was meant for readers to pity him, and not meant to convince her of anything.
Federal prosecutor: Clay Waller confessed to murder of estranged wife; more details released of evidence
Clay Waller, center, is escorted to a police vehicle after a court hearing at the Cape Girardeau County Courthouse in Jackson on Tuesday, Aug. 23, 2011, where he appeared on charges of stealing and harassment.
(Kristin Eberts)
(Kristin Eberts)
"This defendant, I will argue in this case, has murdered Jacque Waller," Ferrell said. " ... The defendant confessed to murder. He dug a hole before he committed the murder and then buried Jacque Waller in it."
A grand jury indicted Waller on Wednesday on charges of making a physical threat on the Internet against Jacque Waller's sister, Cheryl Brenneke. On Thursday, Magistrate Judge Lewis Blanton presided over an hourlong hearing in U.S. District Court to consider Ferrell's motion that Waller be held without bond. Through his federal public defender, Scott Tilsen, Waller pleaded not guilty.
Jacque Waller's case is relevant, Ferrell said, because it shows that Waller -- who allegedly made threats to his wife before her June 1 disappearance -- is capable of carrying out his threats.
"He made threats against Jacque and then he killed her," Ferrell said. "He made threats against Jacque's sister. He poses a great danger to the community and he is a serious flight risk."
Originally, Ferrell asked that the hearing be moved to the assisted-care facility of Clay Waller's 71-year-old father, James Waller. Ferrell wanted the judge to hear what Clay allegedly told his father about murdering Jacque, saying it was the most "persuasive" form of testimony. James Waller is infirm and could not be moved to the courtroom, but Ferrell added he is competent mentally.
Judge Blanton denied that motion and continued the hearing until Monday at noon to discuss the admission of a deposition from Clay Waller's father. Blanton said moving the hearing to the assisted-living facility was "extraordinary" and might prohibit the public's access, which he did not want to do.
Continuing the hearing until Monday would allow Ferrell to arrange for the deposition of James Waller.
Tilsen argued, however, that Clay Waller should be released. Waller is being held by U.S. marshals in isolation at the Pemiscot County Jail. Tilsen was told by authorities that Waller is not in isolation for his protection, but because of his law-enforcement background. Isolation, Tilsen said, is a "form of torture."
Additionally, no state charges have been brought against his client, Tilsen said. Clay Waller has no criminal background and he didn't flee before his arrest even though he knew an investigation was ongoing into his wife's disappearance.
"The bulk of his family is here, his job is here," Tilsen said.
A Cape Girardeau County prosecutor has called Clay Waller a suspect in his wife's disappearance, but the federal prosecutors statements in court are the first evidence made public to link Clay Waller to a crime in his wife's disappearance.
Clay was the last person known by police to have seen his wife. He told authorities she left the home where Clay was staying in Jackson on foot the afternoon of June 1.
Several other details about what happened on the day of Jacque's disappearance were made public Thursday with the release of an FBI affidavit that was prepared by Special Agent Brian Ritter.
For example, when Clay Waller reported Jacque missing, he told police that Jacque was coming to his home that night to bring him a key from their post office box. He said they sat and talked and then took a nap.
After the nap, Waller told police, the two started to argue about finances and then Jacque left the residence on foot. He later told officials that she left on foot because he threw her keys in a tree and she could not reach them.
The next evening, a state search warrant was executed at Waller's residence, the affidavit says, and some items of evidence were seized. During the search, officers saw that some children's play mats and toys had been placed on some carpet in a hallway area.
The officers did not examine the floor under the mats that night, but police searched the residence again on June 6 with the consent of the home's owner, which is not Clay Waller. The homeowner reported to police that a carpet was missing from the residence.
During that search, Ritter and a member of the Cape Girardeau Police Department found and collected blood spatter evidence from two walls inside the residence. Blood spatter occurs, the affidavit says, when blood moves from one object through the air and lands on another object.
The search of the home continued two days later, when police found several pieces of cut up carpet and carpet padding from a crawl space in the basement. The carpet pieces and pad were hidden out of view in the back of the crawl space. One piece of cut-up carpet had a large blood stain on it and was hidden separate from the others, the document says. The Missouri State Highway Patrol Crim Lab later reported that blood located on the walls and the blood on the piece of carpet contained Jacque Waller's DNA.
Jacque's father, Stan Rawson, said he already knew about much of the information that Ferrell presented in court Thursday. Rawson said it should just offer further proof to the public that Clay Waller killed his daughter.
"Now you know why I was so emphatic about the fact that he did it," Rawson said. "I knew he did it. There's no doubt in my mind he did it. I have never had a doubt."
Traditionally, prosecutors are reluctant to file murder charges without a victim's body, regardless of other evidence.
The latter death threats against his other daughter, Cheryl, also worried him as soon as he heard about them, especially until Waller was arrested and put in jail on state charges of theft and harassment.
"He'd done it once, he'd do it twice," Rawson said.
During interviews, Clay Waller did offer explanations for the blood found at his home. When he was interviewed by Ritter in July, Waller was asked if his wife had ever been injured in the house in Jackson. According to the affidavit, Waller paused and said yes, but that he did not want to talk about it. Waller allegedly added "it was not a big deal." He later told the special agent that Jacque was injured on June 1 as the result of an accident in the kitchen that caused her face to bleed.
"She started bleeding like a ... a lot," Waller said, according to the document.
Waller told Jacque to run to the bathroom and said she used her hands to catch the blood and ran through the house toward the master bedroom. He then claims that she tripped in a hallway and fell down.
According to Clay Waller's version, Jacque fell back down and laid there. He also said she was "thrashing around." But Clay said he and Jacque cleaned up the blood together. Waller admitted to police he cut up and removed the carpet with the blood and hid it in the crawl space so his landlords wouldn't think anything wrong had happened there. Throughout the affidavit, Clay Waller maintains his innocence.
The 10-page affidavit also lays out how law enforcement confirmed that Waller made the threat against Brenneke on the Topix website. Brenneke has temporary custody of the Wallers' triplets and she saw the following words on the website: "You are dead I promise if those kids get hurt, your fault, accident, nobody's fault. Your dad threaten clay, I know he's all talk, I will get you 5, 10, 25 years from now. You have it coming." The user name was Cherl.
Brenneke notified the authorities that she was fearful and that she suspected Clay Waller. Topix administrators told police that the Internet service provider was Charter Communications. The address belonged to the employee of a Cape Girardeau pawnshop, who told police she had let Clay Waller use her computer on the date the posting was made. The employee checked the history and saw that Waller had visited the Topix website. A video surveillance system in the shop also shows Waller entering the entrance of the shop that day.
In open court Thursday, Tilsen said that it was a "conditional threat," though he never said Clay made it.
"It was 'If my children got hurt,'" Tilsen said. "What parent hasn't thought, or even said, something to somebody like that out of concern for their children?"
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