Saturday, August 20, 2011

Josh Powell: Deception

In the case of Susan Cox (Powell) Statement Analysis has shown not only deception on the part of Josh Powell, but that he and his father conspired together to slander Susan and her family.

Disparagement of the victim is an indicator of guilt.

Statement Analysis recognizes the importance of pronouns.  Here is why:

Language can be subjective.  If I say the word, "boy", it would be important to ask follow up questions for clarification on what I mean.  Why?  Let's look at a range of meanings for the word, "boy" for the purpose of analysis.  With each statement, how old is the "boy"?

"It's a boy!"


"The boy loves Little League."


"Let's hear it for our fighting boys."

We have a newborn, and then about a 7 year old, and then a soldier at least 18 years old.  This is the internal subjective dictionary that each of us has.  When one says "boy", if the context is not clear, we must ask follow up questions for clarity.

But, there are two exemptions to the principle of internal subjective dictionary:  articles and pronouns.

Articles do not change.  "The" is used when something or someone has been identified, where as "a" is used prior to recognition. In fact, when these two are mixed up, it is a strong indicator of deception.

"A man approached me with a gun.   He pointed the gun at me."  

When the articles are confused in the above statement, it is often an indication that the 'victim' knows the perpetrator and is attempting a scam.  


Pronouns are instinctive


Pronouns are learned in the earliest days of speech and are instinctive for all of us. Some pronouns such as "my" or "mine" may even predate speech as a child learns to communicate this word with his hands. When someone speaks deception, there is an instinctive separation from the pronouns and we often find confusing or changing pronouns.  This often indicates deception.  


Regarding the disappearance of Susan Cox, Josh Powell lied to police when he said that he and his young sons decided to go on a camping trip at midnight.  This was immediately recognized as a lie and he was suspected in her murder.  He refused to cooperate with police and did the one thing that is most difficult for a human being:  he shut up. 


In upcoming articles, we are going to be looking at false confessions, as well as the interrogation techniques of the KGB and the SS which do not include physical intimidation, but how they skillfully exploited the human need to speak.  Josh Powell was amazingly silent for quite some time, until he finally spoke out warning police not to "underestimate" him.  




Asked what he thinks happened, Josh said, Frankly it’s not something I want to speculate on – I mean, we’ve talked about the possibilities, we’ve talked about the possibilities that – I mean frankly, we don’t believe, I don’t believe at all obviously anything that these people that have been out there saying stuff. I don’t believe anything that they’ve been saying.”


This statement shows deception about what happened to Susan Cox.  "Frankly" is repeated, indicating sensitivity about being "frank" or truthful.  This is our first indicator that something is wrong with the statement, as he begins with this word, only to repeat it, yet when he repeats is, there is indicator number 2:  Change of pronoun.  Note how he goes from "I" to "we" to "I", including in one sentence.  This is a strong indication of deception. 
Note the sensitivity indicators in that he reports in the negative:  "frankly, it's not", "I don't believe" is not only in the negative (sensitive) but it is repeated (sensitive).  As the sensitivity indicators build up, the analyst may safely conclude deception. 
Note this sentence, however, regarding the public perception of him as killer:


"I don't believe at all obviously anything that these people that have been out there saying stuff"


Apply the Statement Analysis principle to this sentence, that the shortest sentence is best.  Highlight every additional word (words of which, upon removal, allow the sentence to work.)


I don't believe at all obviously anything that these people that have been out there saying stuff" 


This sentence alone, beginning in the important or sensitive negative (reporting what he does not believe) then uses "at all" , "obviously" (wanting the audience to take for granted and agree with him), "these" (indicating closeness, rather than "those") "that have been out there" and "stuff".  These additional words compound the weakness of the assertion, repeatedly.  Had he said "I don'b believe what those people are saying about me" would have been much shorter (it can be said in even shorter ways), with the additional words added, instinctively, as the subject is feeling the stress of lying.  


Analysis Question:  What is the conclusion of this one sentence according to Statement Analysis?
Answer: 


Josh Powell knows what the public says about him is true.  



I like Isabelle's reporting.  She covers missing persons cases and presents balanced articles.  
See her article at:  


 Examiner.com Would Susan Cox Powell run off with a man, emotionally torment friends, family? - National missing persons | Examiner.com http://www.examiner.com/missing-persons-in-national/would-susan-cox-powell-run-off-with-a-man-emotionally-torment-friends-family#ixzz1VZFS8Q2p





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